Subject
- #Fed Rate
- #CPI
- #US-China Trade
- #Economic Uncertainty
- #Asian Stocks
Created: 2024-06-12
Created: 2024-06-12 12:22
Asian stock markets have experienced a decline due to anxieties surrounding the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision. This week is particularly crucial, with key economic indicators and central bank policy decisions scheduled, leading to heightened investor tension.
The trade dispute between the US and China has once again negatively impacted Asian stock markets. Reports suggesting the US may expand semiconductor export restrictions to Russia have raised concerns that Chinese and Hong Kong semiconductor resellers could be affected. This news caused the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index to fall by 0.2% each. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong dropped by 1.6%, recording the largest decline among major Asian indices.
Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix indices fell by 0.8% each. This was attributed to the May Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate exceeding expectations. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is increasingly likely to reduce bond purchases and raise interest rates at its meeting this week. This outlook has amplified uncertainty surrounding the Japanese economy.
The ASX 200 index in Australia declined by 0.5%. This is due to the Australian economy being influenced by economic uncertainty in the US and Europe. In contrast, South Korea's Kospi index rose by 0.3% due to the strength of semiconductor stocks, marking the only positive performance in the Asian market.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, set to be released on Wednesday of this week, and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision are expected to significantly impact global financial markets. The Fed is likely to maintain interest rates at their current level this time, but the outlook for future rate cuts is drawing attention. Some economists anticipate the Fed to hint at two rate cuts, while others believe no cuts will occur.
In Europe, French President Emmanuel Macron's announcement of legislative elections has increased political uncertainty. Consequently, French 10-year government bond yields reached their highest point this year, and major bank shares experienced substantial declines. The Euro experienced the most significant losses among major currencies.
In the US, major Wall Street trading desks are bracing for market volatility in anticipation of Wednesday's CPI data and the Fed's interest rate decision. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.3%, setting a new record, and the Nasdaq 100 index also increased by 0.4%. However, Apple's stock price declined despite the announcement of new artificial intelligence features.
This week will be a crucial period for the global economy. Asian stock markets are significantly affected by the US-China trade conflict, economic uncertainty in Japan, and the Fed's interest rate decision and the CPI data release. Investors are closely monitoring these economic indicators and policy decisions, preparing for market volatility. The future economic landscape is expected to be significantly influenced by these key events.
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